2003 Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Graphs Review

Following are graphs and commentary regarding the 2003 season of the Milwaukee Brewers. Questions or comments can be sent to me at dave@baseballgraphs.com.



NL Central Standings The National League Central Race

Milwaukee was looking at a typical cellar-dwelling kind of year, when they had a scintillating ten-game win streak in August. This brought them in line with Cincinnati, but they couldn't avoid the cellar in the end.





Comments How to Read this Graph

Milwaukee, Cincinnati and San Diego were the three worst teams in the league. Actually, the Brewers' offense may have been kind of okay, but their pitching and fielding was tied for worst with the Padres.

Hold your mouse over the graph to see the Brewers at mid-year. What's interesting is that their run differential position was actually better in the first half of the year, despite the fact they won more games in the second half (35 to 33). In particular, the offense slumped in the second half.

In fact, the Brewers were 2.5 games under their projected won/loss record the first half, but five games OVER it in the second half.

Move your mouse over this graph to view the status of each team at the season's midpoint (July 1st).


Pitching and Fielding

Fielding Independent Pitching is based on the following formula: (13*HR+3*BB-2*K)/IP. Defense Efficiency Ratio is (Non-catcher putouts/Batted Balls in Play), adjusted for ballpark. Circle sizes in this graph are proportional to the percent of fieldable balls successfully converted into outs by the fielders.
The Brewers' Pitching and Fielding

Milwaukee had the worst combination of FIP and DER in the league. Their fielding was slightly above average, so either the pitching, or luck, is responsible for that lousy DER.

Take a look at Glendon Rusch in our National League pitching stats. Hint: he's last in ERSAA. But check out his FIP: 0.75! That's about equal to Livan Hernandez's FIP. But Rusch's DER was an incredibly bad .625! A couple of years ago, Glendon Rusch was the DIPS poster boy. Now, you've got to wonder...

How to Read this Graph


Milwaukee Brewers Ten Game Averages
April May June July Aug Sept
OBP .324 .316 .346 .333 .342 .313
SLG .396 .378 .462 .397 .465 .409
FIP 1.44 1.55 2.46 1.46 1.43 2.03
DER .686 .725 .713 .725 .711 .686
The DER stats in this table are based on limited data; the trend between months per team is more valid than the absolute number.
The Brewers Day-by-Day

That August streak looks kind of out of place on this chart, doesn't it? During the streak, Geoff Jenkins was awesome before getting hurt, but the Brewers also received contributions from Podsednik (Rookie of the year in the NL?), Sexson, Ginter, Helms -- even Brady Clark. Their hot pitchers included Doug Davis, Kinner, Obermueller and Franklin. Not an imposing list, is it?

Looking at the offensive stats on this chart, you can see that the Brewers really weren't that bad at the bat, at times. In fact, their slugging percentage was about league average, though their OBP was below average. However, the run elements just didn't add up for the Brewers -- they actually scored about .3 runs per game less than their run elements project. It's hard to say why. For instance, they hit relatively well in the clutch.



Milwaukee Brewers' Win Shares

Player          Team    Pos     Hit     Field   Pitch   Sum     WS	
--------	----	----	-----	-----	-----	-----	---	
R Sexson        MIL     1B      23.23   3.23    0.00    26.47   26	
S Podsednik     MIL     OF      19.30   2.86    0.00    22.15   22	
G Jenkins       MIL     OF      18.11   1.77    0.00    19.88   20	
W Helms         MIL     3B      10.08   2.32    0.00    12.40   12	
K Ginter        MIL     2B      8.06    1.31    0.00    9.37    9	
B Sheets        MIL     P       0.00    0.00    9.33    9.33    9	
D Kolb          MIL     P       0.00    0.00    9.06    9.06    9	
J Vander Wal    MIL     OF      7.32    1.18    0.00    8.50    8	
E Young         MIL     2B      7.00    1.37    0.00    8.37    8	
E Perez         MIL     C       3.86    3.15    0.00    7.00    7	
B Clark         MIL     OF      5.49    1.17    0.00    6.66    7	
R Clayton       MIL     SS      0.00    6.53    0.00    6.53    7	
L Estrella      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    5.55    5.55    6	
M DeJean        MIL     P       0.00    0.00    5.35    5.35    5	
D Davis         MIL     P       0.00    0.00    4.73    4.73    5	
K Osik          MIL     C       0.63    3.55    0.00    4.18    4	
M Kinney        MIL     P       0.00    0.00    4.11    4.11    4	
W Franklin      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    3.88    3.88    4	
V De Los Santos MIL     P       0.00    0.00    3.84    3.84    4	
B Hall          MIL     SS      2.54    1.13    0.00    3.67    4	
C Leskanic      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    3.66    3.66    4	
B Kieschnick    MIL     P       1.91    0.00    1.70    3.61    4	
A Sanchez       MIL     OF      1.95    0.99    0.00    2.94    3	
D Burba         MIL     P       0.00    0.00    2.68    2.68    3	
M Ford          MIL     P       0.00    0.00    1.82    1.82    2	
W Obermueller   MIL     P       0.00    0.00    1.62    1.62    2	
M Crudale       MIL     P       0.00    0.00    1.27    1.27    1	
J Foster        MIL     P       0.00    0.00    1.25    1.25    1	
L Vizcaino      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.83    0.83    1	
T Ritchie       MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.78    0.78    1	
M Smith         MIL     OF      0.62    0.13    0.00    0.75    1	
J Conti         MIL     OF      0.40    0.19    0.00    0.59    1	
S Nance         MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.50    0.50    0	
E Cruz          MIL     SS      0.00    0.36    0.00    0.36    0	
P Zoccolillo    MIL     OF      0.00    0.12    0.00    0.12    0	
J Hammonds      MIL     OF      0.00    0.11    0.00    0.11    0	
R Quevedo       MIL     P       0.08    0.00    0.00    0.08    0	
R Weeks         MIL     2B      0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
J Durocher      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
D Manning       MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
L Martinez      MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	
G Rusch         MIL     P       0.00    0.00    0.00    0.00    0	

The Brewers' Individual Players

Richie Sexson was ranked the third-best third baseman in the league, and Scott Podsednik deserves very strong Rookie of the Year consideration. And that's about all you can say. Everybody's favorite two-way player, Brook Kieschnick, had about the same number of batting and pitching Win Shares.

Among pitchers, Ben Sheets is a fine young pitcher, Doug Davis had some good moments, and Danny Kolb, the former Ranger, came out of nowhere to become the new closer. Bets are off for next year.

You can view all National League Win Shares data via the following links:
All Players, Top to Bottom
Players Ranked by Position
Players Fielding WS by Position