Zach Duke

January 20, 2006

The young Pirate lefthander, by request.  If he keeps this up, watch out!

Duke, Zachary

Net Runs per Ball % of Batted Balls %/OF %/PA Total Net Runs
BFP OF LD GB OF% LD% GB% HR K BB OF LD GB IF NIP Tot R/G
2005 341 -0.08 0.30 -0.15 23% 26% 47% 5% 17% 7% -4.3 20.0 -18.0 -2.3 -9.0 -15.4 -1.7
Avg. 341 -0.08 0.30 -0.15 23% 26% 47% 5% 17% 7% -4.3 20.0 -18.0 -2.3 -9.0 -15.3 -1.7
vs. MLB -0.11 -0.05 -0.05 -8% 6% 3% -6% 0% -2% -6.9 2.0 -7.3 0.3 -2.7


Wells, Kip

Net Runs per Ball % of Batted Balls %/OF %/PA Total Net Runs
BFP OF LD GB OF% LD% GB% HR K BB OF LD GB IF NIP Tot R/G
2002 844 0.09 0.38 -0.13 23% 21% 53% 15% 16% 9% 12.5 48.1 -43.5 -5.0 -14.8 -4.0 -0.2
2003 835 0.03 0.40 -0.12 28% 18% 51% 13% 18% 10% 5.4 41.3 -36.0 -4.5 -16.7 -14.8 -0.7
2004 621 0.07 0.36 -0.11 28% 22% 46% 11% 19% 12% 8.6 34.3 -22.0 -4.0 -11.2 4.9 0.3
2005 828 0.12 0.31 -0.11 31% 22% 45% 13% 16% 13% 21.0 37.8 -27.8 -4.3 -3.7 20.3 0.9
Avg. 782 0.08 0.36 -0.12 27% 20% 49% 13% 17% 11% 11.8 40.4 -31.9 -4.4 -11.9 1.9 0.1
vs. MLB 0.04 0.01 -0.02 -4% 0% 5% 2% 0% 1% 5.7 -1.0 -7.2 1.3 2.5


Wow. Zach shows off well!

One other Pirate that I think would be interesting to look at would be Kip Wells. Kip has been labeled as one of the guys with the least amount of run support the last 3 or 4 years.

Kip has 68 QS in 121 starts and just a 1.66 per game ER allowed in those 68 games. When I compared Kip’s 53 non-quality starts (NQS) to Roger Clemens 63 NQS over that same 4 year span, I found just a .5 ER difference across Kip’s 53 games - or about 2.8 wins or so.

Now, Kip is no Roger Clemens and I’m not trying to infer that he is even close, but, if you graph out Kip for us, I believe his stats will show a whole different guy than the 55 - 69 loser he seems to be.

Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)  on  01/20  at  10:48 PM

I’ve added Kip Wells to the post.  He fits a fairly common stereotype: groundball pitcher who tends to give up home runs on outfield flies.  His K/BB is league-average and his groundball tendency isn’t strong enough to offset those home runs.  Overall, he’s a league-average guy (in other words, he’s worth $8 million a year).

He’s trended up the last four years: groundballs are down, walks are up, and he got killed last year by outfield flies.

Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)  on  01/21  at  07:10 AM
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