I initially created Baseball Graphs to develop new and better ways of presenting baseball statistics. The 2003 season was my first full-season attempt, and it turned out pretty well. I now spend a lot of my time creating and formatting the baseball stats at The Hardball Times.

Along the way, I've also picked up the writing bug. I spend most of my energy writing for THT, but sometimes I like to write about more geeky stuff, baseball research and things like that. That's what this blog is for.

I'm very interested in graphics and other information display, so I'll probably post links to creative stuff like that. I also plan to write historical articles that complement the historical graphs. And I have inexplicably developed an interest in baseball win-related stats, such as Bill James's Win Shares and something called Win Probability Added. So you can expect a few posts about that stuff too.

If you're interested, I've created a complex spreadsheet full of WPA logic, which you can download at ftp.baseballgraphs.com/wpa. If you'd like to read more about Win Shares, try these links:

Win Shares Intro
What They're Good For
Mathematical Details

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If there is any aspect of WPA, Win Shares or baseball graphics you're interested in, drop me an e-mail and I'll look into it.

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Second-Half Surges and more Win Stats

July 17, 2006

JC has an interesting post on his blog, using PrOPS to predict which offenses are most likely to improve, decline or stay the same in the second half. Biggest surges expected from the A’s, Devil Rays, Phillies, Reds and Orioles. Interesting list.

I talk a lot about win-based statistics on this site, so I should point out one in development by Bradford Doolittle. He calls it Wins Added and it appears to be informed by Chris Dial’s work at Baseball Think Factory. Here’s a link to his All-Star break leaderboard and he explains his system in this post. Brad admits that his system is still under development, but the basics seem solid to me.

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