I initially created Baseball Graphs to develop new and better ways of presenting baseball statistics. The 2003 season was my first full-season attempt, and it turned out pretty well. I now spend a lot of my time creating and formatting the baseball stats at The Hardball Times.

Along the way, I've also picked up the writing bug. I spend most of my energy writing for THT, but sometimes I like to write about more geeky stuff, baseball research and things like that. That's what this blog is for.

I'm very interested in graphics and other information display, so I'll probably post links to creative stuff like that. I also plan to write historical articles that complement the historical graphs. And I have inexplicably developed an interest in baseball win-related stats, such as Bill James's Win Shares and something called Win Probability Added. So you can expect a few posts about that stuff too.

If you're interested, I've created a complex spreadsheet full of WPA logic, which you can download at ftp.baseballgraphs.com/wpa. If you'd like to read more about Win Shares, try these links:

Win Shares Intro
What They're Good For
Mathematical Details

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If there is any aspect of WPA, Win Shares or baseball graphics you're interested in, drop me an e-mail and I'll look into it.

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Expected Win Shares Review

March 15, 2006

The Crank reviews his methodology

At the beginning of each of the past few seasons, the Baseball Crank has analyzed the “established Win Shares” level of every player on every team, to make a gross projection for each team. I’m not a big fan of using Win Shares to project future performance, but the Crank has done something better by analyzing how each team did last year, compared to their established Win Shares levels. This is insightful.

What’s most interesting to me are the “added” Win Shares by players not originally accounted for. This is a way of gauging which teams have come up with the most new talent (the Braves and A’s), and which ones haven’t (the Reds and Phillies).

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