I have never commented on a baseball BLOB before…
This site had lots of interest in WIN SHARES:
ie WIN SHARES and negative influences
Pitcher’s compensation compared to WIN SHARE VALUES…
Fielding/Pitching WIN SHARE allocations.
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Some thoughts: Pitchers are less predictable and injuries are common.. Teams that invest heavily such as the Yankees should protect their investment by purchasing extra pitching (overspending on pitchers).
ALLOCATING WIN SHARES
Note:
Bonds is going to create all kinds of studies. Was he walked when he wa likely to terroize the other team? How unusual were his walks? I noticed how many times he does not score runs when he walks but his TEAM scores runs! Pitch count effects. How do Giants do in 4 game series against worn out pitching etc etc.
ANYWAY, HERE IS WHY I POSTED THIS COMMENT
A long time ago, I theorized that offense and pitching were related. It is a difficult study as not all effects are positive or negative.
Johnson Effect applied differently might indicate that (less offence would likely result if pitching was great).
Football’s Prevent Defense might illustrate this idea better. The larger the surplus of points, the more inclined a team is to willingly give up bigger and bigger plays. Sort of a Johnson Effect.
Also, pitchers groove fastballs…
Losing teams try to maximize innings.
Umpires expand strike zone (or have they been more generous to batters…this being the reason many runs were scored early in a particular game).
Small ball is likely when pitching is great to take advantage of Pythagorean multipler of winning percentage for surplus runs on lower base-run games.
Their are many other effects with possible repercussions on many issues.
HERE IS MY SURPRISING CONCLUSION FROM LOOKING AT A FEW LEAGUES YEARS AGO (though the data was limited and contradictory-needs more study)
I think good pitching will have a net POSITVE EFFECT on runs scored .... winning teams will invest more pitching while losing teams will invest less. Managers, defensive players and pitchers on losing teams will be less concerned about positive results ....
ANYONE IS WELCOME TO RUN WITH THIS…