NL Batting WSAA Rankings

November 15, 2003

And here is a list of the top ten NL batting Win Shares Above Average leaders:

Player Team Win Shares Game Shares WSAA
A Pujols STL 40.3 17.7 31.4
B Bonds SF 39.1 15.9 31.2
G Sheffield ATL 32.4 17.4 23.7
T Helton COL 33.2 23.0 21.7
J Thome PHI 28.5 16.8 20.1
J Lopez ATL 25.2 13.4 18.5
B Abreu PHI 26.0 17.6 17.2
C Jones ATL 24.4 19.2 14.8
R Sexson MIL 25.5 24.2 13.4
L Berkman HOU 22.6 19.4 12.8

Dang that MVP race!

Here's a link to all NL batters ranked by batting WSAA, by team.
Here is a list of batters who incurred the greatest variance when applying the WSAA method:

Player Team WS GS WSAA % Change
J Rollins PHI 11.2 28.1 -2.9 126%
V Castilla ATL 10.9 24.6 -1.4 113%
P Lo Duca LA 10.4 23.0 -1.1 110%
A Beltre LA 10.9 23.1 -0.6 106%
A Gonzalez FLA 11.4 22.3 0.2 98%
J Encarnacion FLA 13.1 25.7 0.3 98%
J Payton COL 13.0 24.8 0.5 96%
T Wigginton NYM 12.9 24.6 0.6 95%
J Cruz SF 12.4 23.2 0.8 93%
M Kotsay SD 10.8 19.8 0.8 92%


And here's a list of batters who changed the least:

Player Team WS GS WSAA % Change
J Guillen CIN 16.7 13.5 10.0 40%
C Jones ATL 24.4 19.2 14.8 39%
B Giles PIT 16.9 12.5 10.7 37%
T Helton COL 33.2 23.0 21.7 35%
B Abreu PHI 26.0 17.6 17.2 34%
J Thome PHI 28.5 16.8 20.1 30%
G Sheffield ATL 32.4 17.4 23.7 27%
J Lopez ATL 25.2 13.4 18.5 27%
A Pujols STL 40.3 17.7 31.4 22%
B Bonds SF 39.1 15.9 31.2 20%


As you can see, the issue isn't that Win Shares overestimates great hitters. But it seems to overestimate mediocre hitters.

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