Free Agent Win Shares
November 23, 2004
A chart of free agency’s impact on each team.
Here's a quick Win Shares look at how each team could potentially be affected by free agency. I basically added up all the Win Shares of each player who isn't on his team's roster at this time, and compared that to the team's total Win Shares. Players not on the roster include those who filed for free agency, as well as those who were traded in season.
Remember, this is not a prediction, but a measure of the relative impact free agency might have on each team, based on last year's contributions. "FAWS" stands for Free Agent Win Shares. In my notes, I may reference WSAR as a way of measuring the true impact of these losses. WSAR stands for Win Shares Above Average.
| Team | Total | FAWS | Percent | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 279 | 118 | 42.3% | Beltre, Perez, Lima, and the trade of Lo Duca and Mota. Will be partially offset by having Choi and Penny for full year. |
| CHC | 267 | 95 | 35.7% | Alou, Clement, Grudz and Walker. Rusch has already re-upped. Middle of the lineup concerns |
| COL | 204 | 72 | 35.2% | Burnitz, Castilla, Reed; all contributed but all should be replaced for long term. |
| FLO | 249 | 80 | 32.1% | Benitez and Pavano, plus loss of Choi and Penny through trade. |
| HOU | 276 | 84 | 30.6% | Beltran, Kent and Clements big losses; would be nice to get two of three back. |
| ATL | 288 | 85 | 29.6% | Drew, Alfonseca and Wright. Can Atlanta recover from a big talent loss again? |
| BOS | 294 | 80 | 27.1% | Mostly Pedro and Varitek. Not as bad a loss as I would have imagined. |
| STL | 315 | 83 | 26.4% | Womack, Renteria, Kline, Mabry. Womack wouldn't repeat anyway; Renteria only 3.7 WSAR. |
| KC | 174 | 42 | 24.3% | Reflects Beltran trade. Most FA losses actually had negative WSAR's. |
| MIN | 276 | 66 | 23.8% | Radke, Koskie and Guzman losses hurt. Replacing Radke is key. |
| TOR | 201 | 42 | 20.7% | Loss of Delgado and Zaun offset by negative WSARs of Hentgen and others |
| NYY | 303 | 62 | 20.5% | El Duque, Cairo, Sierra, Lieber, Clark, Olerud. Rotation upgrade required. |
| SEA | 189 | 36 | 19.1% | Not really a free agent loss, this reflects trade of Freddy Garcia. |
| NYM | 213 | 41 | 19.0% | Leiter and Bottalico. Leiter may re-up. |
| PHI | 258 | 49 | 18.9% | Polanco and Cormier; two very good ballplayers. |
| TBD | 210 | 36 | 17.1% | Tino Martinez. Zambrano traded; Kazmir could match his Win Shares in first year. |
| OAK | 273 | 45 | 16.6% | Damian Miller and Chris Hammond. Without a catcher, lots of passed balls. |
| ARI | 153 | 25 | 16.3% | Wanted. Baseball Players. Apply within. |
| CHW | 249 | 35 | 14.2% | Valentin and Ordonez, whose loss is offset by half-year on DL. |
| CIN | 228 | 29 | 12.7% | Larkin and Paul Wilson only positive contributors, barely. |
| CLE | 239 | 26 | 10.9% | Postive WSAR of Vizquel and negative WSAR of Jimenez are nearly a wash. |
| TEX | 268 | 28 | 10.5% | Deluccia and Young only positive contributors |
| MON | 201 | 21 | 10.3% | Cabrera actually had negative WSAR while with Expos. |
| ANA | 276 | 24 | 8.7% | Glaus and Percival; both had limited contributions in 2004 due to injuries. |
| SDP | 258 | 18 | 6.9% | David Wells. |
| BAL | 234 | 13 | 5.6% | B.J. Surhoff |
| MIL | 201 | 11 | 5.6% | Addition by subtraction. |
| DET | 216 | 11 | 4.9% | Yan's 7/17 saves in save opportunities keep his Win Shares down. Only player of note. |
| PIT | 216 | 9 | 4.2% | Traded Benson |
| SFG | 273 | 8 | 2.8% | No one of consequence |
| Total | 7281 | 1373 | 18.9% |
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